臺灣地區人口死亡率之參數模型

Heligman與Pollard(1980)首先利用混合式參數模型來描述人類生命之現象。一個好的參數模型可以讓我們清楚了解死亡率變化之產生及其原因。本文主要利用三個參數模型來配適台灣地區人口之死亡率。本文也嘗試修改Carriere(1992)模型使其配適台灣地區人口死亡率之情況更好，結果顯示女性人口之配適情況改善不少。
關鍵字：參數模型、死亡率、瑋柏分配

Parameter Model for Taiwan Mortality Rate

　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　　(Wen-Chiung Lee)*(Se-Hong Chou)

The mixture parametric model for the entire age pattern of mortality is first suggested by Heligman and Pollard(1980). A good model can give us a better understanding of the underlying mechanism governing the mortality pattern. In this paper, we tried to fit three well-known parametric models to the mortality rate of Taiwan population. We also modified Carriere (1992) model to get a better fit, especially for the female population.

Keywords:parametric model, mortality rate, Weibull distribution